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My Left Nutmeg

Q-Poll: Lieberman closes gap to 6%

by: Matt Browner Hamlin

Mon Aug 07, 2006 at 07:37:27 AM EDT


(More on the Q Poll, with excellent comments. - promoted by BranfordBoy)

The final poll in the Connecticut race before the one that counts show that millionaire lawyer Joe Lieberman has closed ground on Ned Lamont. According to NPR radio (no link yet) Lieberman now only trails Lamont by 6%. Here's a link.

Lamont: 51%
Lieberman: 45%
Undecided: 4%
MoE: 3.5%
Sample size: 784

Matt Browner Hamlin :: Q-Poll: Lieberman closes gap to 6%
I'm sorry people, but with a get out the vote drive that's costing nearly as much as Lamont's entire campaign, these results are expected and were surprisingly not felt in last week's Quinnipiac poll.

The bottom line is that it's Get Out The Vote time now for the Lamont campaign. All hands all deck and calling all cars (car 54, where are you?). I'm headed back up to the Lamont HQ in a few minutes and if anyone is in CT or can get to CT in the next 24-36 hours, your help is needed. We have a chance to help Lamont close out with a win. We can stop Lieberman's $4 million dollar GOTV campaign purely on the power of people taking part in the democratic process.

Click here to find out where you can go and what you can do. My understanding is that the greatest needs are in Norwalk and Bridgeport, two towns in south western Connecticut about an hour outside of New York City by train.

We can make today's poll results an insignificant blip of hope for Joe Lieberman on his long, slow extraction from the Washington feeding trough. His fingers may have just dug a bit deeper into the wood we're trying to separate him from, but his position is nowhere near assured.What matters is propelling Lamont to victory, now for the next six years.

Cross posted at Emboldened.

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Dates (4.00 / 1)
The QPoll was conducted July 31 to August 6. Sorry I left it out of the post.

Disclosure: I'm proud to work for the Service Employees International Union

Outliers (4.00 / 1)
Liebeman's favorables/unfavorables remain about the same. Lamont's favorables among men, and the less educated, and the poorer have dipped, probably because they were already too high from the preceding polls. The major difference though is an 18 point drop among those making 30-50k a year, the lower middle-class. Such a dramatic shift in a matter of days is unlikely, probably due to a lower sample size or some other aberration. That alone would make up a large portion of difference from the earlier August poll.

As with George Bush & the republicans we'll see tomorrow if people do in fact vote against their economic self-interest.

On the brighter side, on the question [If a Lamont voter] "Is your vote more for Lamont or more against Lieberman?", Ned has gone up 11 pts, which suggests what we already knew: the more people see Ned Lamont and are willing to support him the more they like him.


 
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