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Obama with huge lead against McCain in CT (52-35)

by: Scarce

Thu Mar 27, 2008 at 09:33:31 AM EDT

So sayeth the pollmasters at Quinnipiac anyway. Hillary Clinton would also beat McCain, but by a narrow 45-42 margin. How to interpret these numbers? Well, obviously there is Bush fatigue and general unease about the economy. But I would also take from this that the Lieberman coattails McCain had hoped for in Connecticut just aren't there anymore. It may also suggest Lieberman's popularity among independents has finally (and thankfully) evaporated. We won't know for sure until the next SurveyUSA CT-Sen poll if this is true or just wishful thinking on my part.

And with the election still seven months away, and without a democratic nominee these poll numbers are fun to look at but it would be a mistake to assume they are more than they are.

With strong support from young and independent voters, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama leads Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 - 35 percent in Connecticut, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. These same voters do not give New York Sen. Hillary Clinton as much support in her 45 - 42 percent lead over Sen. McCain.
In the Obama-McCain matchup, independent voters support the Democrat 45 - 38 percent, while voters under 45 years old back him 63 - 30 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University poll finds. White voters back Obama 48 - 39 percent while black voters back him 91 - 5 percent.
When Clinton faces McCain, independent voters go to the Republican 48 - 36 percent, while young voters back her 50 - 39 percent. Men back McCain 52 - 37 percent, while women back Clinton 53 - 33 percent.

Favorable

Barack Obama +59/-24 percent
Hillary Clinton +46/-47 percent
John McCain +52/-31 percent

From March 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.

UPDATE ctblogger: From CT-N, here the Q-poll press conference:

Scarce :: Obama with huge lead against McCain in CT (52-35)

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Obama with huge lead against McCain in CT (52-35) | 7 comments

Obama giving major economic speech right now (0.00 / 0)

Citing Chris Dodd's plan as a major part of his own idea's to confront the housing crisis.

by: Scarce @ Thu Mar 27, 2008 at 14:08:48 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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So how come. . . (4.00 / 1)

Quinnipiac polls Chris Dodd's approval rating, but not Joe Lieberman's? Hmmmmmm? Might someone not want to know what Joe's approval rating is in his home state?

I'd laugh if I didn't know what a big role Dougie Schwartz and his biased polls played in 2006.

by: da0802 @ Thu Mar 27, 2008 at 16:18:29 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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Dodd (0.00 / 0)

I was irked by that too, Lieberman getting nothing while Dodd got short shrift.

Connecticut voters disapprove 76 - 20 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest approval in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state. U.S. Sen. Christopher Dodd's 51 - 28 percent approval also is his lowest ever.
"Sen. Dodd's approval declined steadily as he ran for President. Perhaps his numbers will come back up again, now that he is home from the campaign trail. We will keep an eye on Dodd. He is up for reelection in 2010 and no incumbent wants to start a reelection campaign with numbers that low," Dr. Schwartz said.

by: Scarce @ Thu Mar 27, 2008 at 17:01:27 PM UTC

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by: you @ soon

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What will it take (4.00 / 1)

for Quinnipiac to finally realize that as long as this guy heads their polling institute the notion that it's "independent" is a joke, and FIRE HIM?

Seriously, he's so obvious it's ridiculous.

by: da0802 @ Thu Mar 27, 2008 at 19:05:48 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Whoa... in the press conference (0.00 / 0)

Schwartz gave an approval rating for Lieberman (52%). So apparently they DID poll it, but left it off the press release!

by: da0802 @ Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 05:27:10 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Has Lieberman's approval rating (4.00 / 1)

Actually it is on the release - question 16. His overall approval rating has been about the same since Feb 2007. Currently gets 77% of Rs, 39% of Ds, and 51% of Us. Also, 54% of Whites & 36% of Blacks.

by: mikect @ Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 11:40:15 AM UTC

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by: you @ soon

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So Lieberman's +52/-35 (0.00 / 0)

..is not worth mentioning in the write-up but Senator Dodd's +51/-28 is more important because he's up for re-election over 30 months away...

Doug, doug, dug...

Just my 2 cents but it looks like Dodd is positioning himself for a cabinet position in an Obama administration, and if that occurs he won't be around in 2010 anyway.

by: Scarce @ Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 11:59:51 AM UTC

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