( - promoted by ctblogger)
This insinuation of voter fraud has been cropping up:
However, the off-the-cliff drop in the number of votes cast for the Republican candidate this election when compared to previous elections is puzzling. ... Furthermore, it is a 32% plunge from the previous low of 6,094 votes in 2002 and an astounding 51% drop from the 8,366 votes in the last gubernatorial election in 2006.
This is nonsense. Looking at raw vote totals without any sort of context will lead you to this kind of absurd conclusion (Where are the votes for Republicans? FRAUD!).
In 2002 and 2006, there were popular incumbent Republican governors running for re-election - of course there were more votes for Republicans in Bridgeport - Democrats were voting for the Republican governors!
While 2002 exit polls are considered unreliable and are not used by the news organizations that paid for them, 2006 and 2010 make the case admirably.
In 2006, popular incumbent Republican Governor Rell had the support of 38% of Democrats.
In 2010, not that popular non-incumbent Republican Tom Foley had the support of only 13% of Democrats.
(The article makes the case that the 2010 totals were below the ten-election average number of Republican votes in Bridgeport. Leaving aside the discussion of whether this is a measure that has any meaning, the ten elections include only four open seats: 2010, 1994, 1990, and 1974 and two of those (1994 and 1990) feature serious third-party challengers (actually 2 in 1994 for a 4 way race)).
In fact, the Democrat winning this election perfectly fits the historical trend. While Democrats haven't held the Gubernatorial office in 25 years, Republicans haven't won a 2 way race for Governor without running the sitting governor since 1970! |