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My Left Nutmeg

Quinnipiac Poll: CT Governor: Malloy 50% Foley 41%

by: Larkspur

Wed Sep 15, 2010 at 10:59:41 AM EDT


( - promoted by ctblogger)

Video courtesy of CTNewsJunkie

Looks like the race is tightening in the CT-GOV race.  Or maybe its because they've switched from registered to likely voters.

The highlights


Quinnipiac
9/8-12/10; 875 likely voters, 3.3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

Connecticut

2010 Governor
50% Malloy (D), 41% Foley (R) (chart)

Malloy leads 86 - 8 percent among Democrats, while Foley leads 83 - 14 percent among Republicans. Independent voters split 42 - 42 percent.
Malloy leads 53 - 38 percent among women and 48 - 43 percent among men.

Favorable / Unfavorable
Tom Foley:  34 / 24
Dan Malloy: 46 / 21

Among those backing Malloy, 17 percent say their vote is mainly against Foley, while 72 percent say they mainly are pro-Malloy. Foley backers are 28 percent anti-Malloy and 60 percent pro-Foley.

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Rell: 58% Approve, 35% Disapprove (chart)


Amazing that Rell still has a high approval rating.

The lowlights


But 8 percent are undecided and 26 percent of those who do name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day.

The keys to the election


"Key to deciding the Governor's race are independent voters, especially the 16 percent of independents who are undecided right now."

"Change" is the top quality voters want in their next Governor as 32 percent say bringing "needed change to Hartford" is the quality that matters most in their vote. Another 23 percent want a candidate who shares their values, followed by 21 percent looking for experience and 20 looking for a candidate who is honest and trustworthy. Malloy leads on all counts as voters say:

  • 51 - 33 percent that Malloy can bring needed change to Hartford;
  • 43 - 36 percent that Foley can bring change;
  • 66 - 19 percent that Malloy has the right experience to be Governor;
  • 53 - 26 percent that Foley has the right experience;
  • 58 - 16 percent that Malloy is honest and trustworthy;
  • 51 - 21 percent that Foley is honest and trustworthy;
  • 51 - 30 percent that Malloy shares their values;
  • 42 - 33 percent that Foley shares their values.


With a 9 pt lead, I'd say Malloy will most likely win this time.  It's better to have the lead with a prominent US Senate race overshadowing the governor's race than not having it  
Larkspur :: Quinnipiac Poll: CT Governor: Malloy 50% Foley 41%
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