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My Left Nutmeg

Quinnipiac: Dodd within 5 of Simmons

by: Scarce

Thu Sep 17, 2009 at 08:46:58 AM EDT


Quinnipiac has released another poll with Senator Dodd against potential Republicans, the most likely of whom is still the uninspiring Rob Simmons. As with the Research 2000 poll released earlier this week, the gap has narrowed a bit but Chris Dodd is still only at 39%, Simmons at 44% with a higher number of undecided. Dodd beats all the other relatively anonymous Republicans, and Simmons is still in the 40's for support among R's while the others are in the single digits. I'd expect with the amount of money being put into the race for that to change rather abruptly next winter and spring.

The other interesting aspects are Barack Obama's approvals in CT down to 57% from 71% last spring. Support for a Public Option remains strong at 64% while support for the President's health care reform is rather tepid (47% approve, 42% disapprove).

Scarce :: Quinnipiac: Dodd within 5 of Simmons
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Some curious findings in Q Poll (0.00 / 0)
First, the gender gap is amazing.  Men disapprove of Dodd by eight percentage points, while women are positive about him by 15 percentage points.

It's also incredible that Dodd's being cleared unequivocally of wrongdoing in the mortgage matter makes 26% of respondents view him more negatively, while only 14% think more favorably of him.  So the guy is found not guilty, and by a nearly two to one margin, that exoneration makes people more negative about him?  Sheesh!  That's a tough audience!

Interesting, after all the ugly thuggish behavior at the town hall meetings that Connecticut voters strongly favor a public option.


My advice (4.00 / 1)
Instead of reading polls go to a girls soccer game (my daughters 12 and plays in a under 14 league) wearing your Obama t-shirt and be freindly with the grandparents there.

People are upset our country is in bad shape and Dodd was a convenient foil for that anger in March but when they look at what the other side has to offer they're coming back to Dodd in droves.


It would be foolish to ignore the polling (0.00 / 0)
..even as mere warning signs. Or pretend that Chris Dodd cannot lose that Senate seat even to a hapless contigent of Republicans.

If economic circumstances worsten, as they just might, all incumbents ought to be worried.


[ Parent ]
I didn't say Ignore them (0.00 / 0)
but this far out and as wide as the sampling it includes (50% of population who NEVER vote) I just don't think they are that valuable.

We all know that Dodd,or any Dem, are going to win the cities but that elections are won or lost in Ct in the Burbs and by the votes of older voters and woman.

The fans on the sidelines of a Under 14 girls soccer game are about the pefect sample to feel the pulse of this group and has proven in my experience to be very accurate indicator of where these two groups are politically.  


[ Parent ]
 
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