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My Left Nutmeg

Larry Sabato moves CT-04 into democratic pickup

by: Scarce

Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:17:18 AM EDT


This is not good news for Shays as Sabato will be all over the television until the election. The big one is he has Obama winning in a landslide, and that will garner most of the attention, naturally. But for anyone on the bubble like Shays they do not want this meme getting out there that they will lose.

http://www.centerforpolitics.o...

Wikipedia:

   In 2004, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball website correctly predicted the outcome of 525 of the 530 political races, missing only one House race, one Senate race, one governor's race, and two states in the Electoral College.[6]

   In August 2006, Sabato's Crystal Ball predicted that the Democrats would gain 29 seats in the House of Representatives and 6 seats in the Senate, which would provide them with a majority in both houses. Sabato's prediction that the Democrats would win back both houses proved correct; his Senate predictions were exactly correct and in the House, Democrats gained 29 seats on election night, the precise total predicted by the Crystal Ball (Democrats would go on to pick up a 30th seat in the December 12, 2006 run-off in Texas' 23rd district).[7]

Scarce :: Larry Sabato moves CT-04 into democratic pickup
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