Chris Cillizza has just written in "The Fix" in the Washington Post that Connecticut's 4th District could possibly shift from Republican to Democratic. He rates Jim Himes in the top fifty seats likely to change.
He writes:
What's immediately apparent when examining the "second 25" is just how much trouble Republicans are in and how broad Democrats' gains could be. Of the 25 seats on this Line, one (ONE!) is held by a Democratic member of Congress (Rep. Nancy Boyda in Kansas). All told, in the 50 seats that make our Line, 42 are held by Republicans and just eight are held by Democrats. And, rest assured, there were several other Republican seats -- California's 3rd, Florida's 21st -- that could well have cracked the top 50.
Although Cillizza's skeptical, he's still putting Shays in the endangered species column:
35. Connecticut's 4th district (R): Rep. Chris Shays (R) is a survivor. He has weathered two serious challenges in the last two election cycles and survived when almost no other Northeastern Republican could in 2006. So, despite the fact that it is almost certain that Barack Obama will carry this affluent southwestern Connecticut district and polls show Democrat Jim Himes running even with Shays, we won't believe Shays is going down until we see it.
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